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Exhibits and collectors editions mark 400th anniversary of Shakespeare's First Folio_我的网站

A |     NEW YORK -- On the 400th anniversary of Shakespeare's First Folio, rare originals are being displayed and publishers are offering collectors editions of Shakespeare's plays, including one that sells for $1,500.Scholars believe that between 200-300 copies still survive from the late 1623 release of “Mr. William Shakespeares Comedies, Histories & Tragedies." Presided over by two friends and former colleagues of Shakespeare, who had died in 1616, the Folio ensured that lasting texts existed for “Macbeth,” “Twelfth Night” and other cornerstones of Western literature. In Shakespeare's lifetime, many of his works were unpublished or available only in cheap paperback editions.“Without the First Folio we would have lost a world of words,” Gregory Doran, artistic director emeritus of the Royal Shakespeare Company, writes in the introduction to “The Complete Plays” of Shakespeare, a new publication.First folios have been on exhibit everywhere from the British Museum to the New York Public Library and at least two major book projects will mark the anniversary. The British Museum is collaborating with Rizzoli Books in New York on “Shakespeare’s First Folio: 400th Anniversary Facsimile Edition,” contained within a slipcase cover. With a list price of $150, the book is 928 pages and includes an introductory booklet co-written by Adrian Edwards, head curator of the British Library’s Printed Heritage Collections.The most ambitious, and exclusive project, is “The Complete Plays,” a limited edition from the Folio Society, an employee-owned company in London that puts out customized volumes ranging from "Beowulf" to George R.R. Martin's “A Song of Ice and Fire” series. The Society has printed just 1,000 copies of the 3-volume box set, with a list price of $1,500. Besides Doran's introduction, the Folio Society release includes a foreword by Dame Judi Dench. Each set is hand-numbered by illustrator Neil Packer.More than three-quarters of “The Complete Plays” have already sold, according to the publisher.“In an era when everything seems disposable, I feel like there's a good market for fine editions of classic books,” says Folio Society publishing director Tom Walker.The First Folio was daring, even audacious for its time, when such publications were “reserved for learned treatises, hefty genealogical texts, books of religious or historiographical importance, or even works by monarchs,” according to Shakespeare scholar Chris Laoutaris. Before Shakespeare the only playwright known to have been so honored was his contemporary Ben Jonson, who honored himself by overseeing “The Workes of Benjamin Jonson” in 1616. While the British Museum edition is relatively affordable, the Folio Society's production is closer to the intended market for the original release."Only those with deep pockets, and the space to read them, could afford such luxurious products," says Laoutaris, an associate professor at the Shakespeare Institute in the playwright's native Stratford-On-Avon and author of “Shakespeare’s Book: The Intertwined Lives Behind the Fist Folio,” which came out this year. “When it was released, the First Folio cost more to produce than any other collection of plays in history up until that point.”The Folio proved successful enough that an updated edition, the Second Folio, was published in 1632, a Third Folio in 1663 and a fourth in 1685. By the 19th century, the original Folio was becoming a valued piece of history, in part through the efforts of collectors Henry and Emily Folger, and a symbol of might for the British Empire. Sir George Grey, who had served as a colonial governor, established libraries worldwide that included copies of the First Folio.“For Grey, the First Folio represented the pinnacle of culture, but specifically English culture,” Laoutaris says. “He sought nothing less than the obliteration of the language and culture of the native populations in Australia, New Zealand and South Africa, nurturing a desire to replace these with the English language and its literary products." The United States is home to more than half of all existing copies of the First Folio, followed by the United Kingdom and Japan, with handfuls of editions also existing in Germany, France, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand among other countries. For antiquarians, the First Folio is the greatest of prizes: One sold for $9.9 million in 2020. For scholars and countless admirers, the Folio is secondary to the plays themselves."Shakespeare’s stature, for the past 400 years, is a reflection of his plays’ staying power on the stage far more than their survival in a collected works," says James Shapiro, a professor of English and comparative literature at Columbia University and author of several books on Shakespeare.“You can buy a Ben Jonson folio for a few thousand dollars; a Shakespeare folio will cost you millions. The reason for this simple: the remarkable afterlife of his comedies, histories, and tragedies in theaters throughout the world.”。    数据支持|勾股大数据（www.gogudata.com）                    周末，美国总统特朗普在最新的采访中继续释放缓和信号，暗示贸易会谈大门仍敞开着。                   果然TACO一来，周一大盘如期拉升。                   尤其是AI算力板块，今日迎来报复性反弹，“CPO”含量超50%的创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)、5G通信ETF(515050)一度涨超6%，截至收盘分别涨3.89%和3.41%。                   贸易谈判的一波三折，对市场风险偏好形成明显扰动。接下来，随着关键性事件逐步落地，右侧布局的机会到了么？                    01、CPO领衔反攻                    A股三大指数今日集体上涨，截止收盘，沪指涨0.63%，深证成指涨0.98%，创业板指涨1.98%。

B |                    行业板块呈现普涨态势，通信服务、电池、通信设备、消费电子板块涨幅居前，贵金属板块逆市重挫。                   可以看出，领涨板块依然是科技，创业板尤其较为强势，一度涨超3%，港股科技股反弹也很凶猛，恒生科技指数一度大涨近4%。                   上周剧烈回调的AI算力板块全面反弹，中际旭创、天孚通信一度涨超10%，新易盛一度涨超7%，东山精密涨超6%，沪电股份涨超4%，工业富联涨超3%、立讯精密涨近3%。“CPO”含量超50%的创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)、5G通信ETF(515050)一度涨超6%。                   消息面上，兴证通信产业链调研显示1.6T光模块需求持续上调。

C |                    由于GB300与后续Rubin平台加速部署，海外大客户近期上修2026年1.6T光模块采购计划，部分客户提前锁定明年产能，行业总需求预计从1000万上修到2000万只。                   行业权威机构LightCounting也给出乐观预测，全球以太网光模块市场规模在2024年强劲增长的基础上，2026年有望同比增长35%至189亿美元，到2030年更将突破350亿美元大关。                   企业层面也传来积极信号。中际旭创表示，二季度1.6T光模块已开始逐步出货，预计未来两个季度将持续实现量产与规模交付。

D |                    PCB企业东山精密透露，当前光芯片市场因AI驱动的高速光模块需求爆发而呈现显著紧缺态势，尤其是800G及以上高速率产品的供应缺口尤为突出，供应紧张格局短期难以缓解，其子公司索尔思已重点锁定2027年全球顶级客户的1.6T需求。                   此外，国内算力也传来利好。工信部发布《关于开展城域“毫秒用算”专项行动的通知》。其中提出，到2027年，实现城域中型及以上算力中心间光层单向互连时延小于1毫秒。加快算力中心间高性能网络部署，到2027年实现城域中型及以上算力中心出口400Gbps部署率不低于50%。                   A股再次迎接一家申请上市的国产GPU企业。近日，上海证券交易所公告显示，上市审核委员会定于10月24日审议沐曦集成电路(上海)股份有限公司(以下简称“沐曦”“沐曦股份”或“公司”)的首发申请。                   过去两周，贸易谈判的一波三折，对市场风险偏好形成明显扰动。接下来，随着三季报、中美谈判、美联储降息、四中全会等关键性事件逐步落地，右侧布局的机会到了么？                    02、右侧机会，逐渐清晰                    尽管上周市场风声鹤唳，AI概念接连调整，然而产业趋势并未中断，AI产业链的高景气度将在三季报窗口期再度得到验证。                   龙头企业业绩是实打实的硬。

E | 台积电上周公布了其第三季度财务报告，营收、净利润均超过市场预期，三季度营收为9899.2亿新台币，同比增长30.3%，净利润实现4523亿新台币，创下公司的纪录新高，同比增长39.1%。                   公司在业绩会上表示，目前人工智能需求比3个月前预期的还要强劲。不仅上调了2025年营收增长预期，也上调了今年资本开支目标的下限，预计全年资本支出400亿美元至420亿美元。                   国内GPU龙头寒武纪也于上周六公布三季度业绩，三季度营收17.27亿，净利润5.67亿元，净利润率近33%。                   业绩爆发进入了非常良性的循环，此前全年预期大概50-70亿左右，四季度集中交付前，前三季度就已经做到了46.1亿营收。                   更重要的是，三季度存货+预付款合计44.2亿，比起上个季度增加了9个亿，意味着回片正常化、供应链良率提升后之后在手订单有望快速兑现，为四季度大量交付提供了保障。                   接下来，10月底北美科技财报发布，需求侧我们有望看到更多验证数据。                   业绩的指数级爆发，是当前AI赛道高景气度的标志。算力供应链上的相关概念，譬如光模块，PCB、人工智能芯片等等，近期随着市场风险偏好调整接连下跌，但在随后的三季报窗口期又是极大概率能够带来超预期表现的板块。

F |                    在经过接近1个月的调整之后，市场是否会再次进入“寒武纪时刻”？                    既然AI主流叙事未发生变化，我们需要在其他角度思考市场逻辑。

G | 目前，最关键的几件事是，中美谈判、美联储降息以及接下来的四中全会。

H |                    中美谈判周末释放出一些乐观的信号，而周一不出意外地，市场给出了积极回应。随着谈判深入，本周或大概率延续阶段反弹的基调，而反弹即是调整结构和仓位的机会。

I |                    不管过程起伏，从终局思维来看，美方最终诉求在于达成协议，加上特朗普是商人，不喜欢硬碰硬，最后还是靠交易的艺术，互相妥协还是大概率的。中国的稀土底牌对上美国芯片，两个底牌目前看来中国的更硬一点，未来老美和欧洲势必会着手建立自己的稀土供应链，但是这个漫长的时间恰好允许我们实现先进制程的自主可控。                   再结合国内，在缺少强力政策延续的情况下，对于下半年经济增速本身也需要调整预期。除非接下来看到强刺激政策，否则没太多理由切换消费或者红利资产，指数的有效突破或仍有赖于科技板块的再启动。                   况且，上证连续涨了五个月，四季度市场本身就需要一次调整，一个月甚至一个季度也都正常。                   科技成长作为主线，这半年从海外算力到国产算力到恒生互联网到储能固态电网，基本都轮动过了。

J | 随着三季报陆续解读，估值向明年切换顺利，科技板块在消化性价比不高的压力后有望回归。                   对于普通投资者来说，聚焦科技主线的核心赛道，还是应该尽量去覆盖人工智能里各种细分领域，把握好龙头企业股价调整的机会。                   在这方面，ETF是比较稳健全面工具，譬如5G通信ETF(515050)和创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)。

K |                    5G通信ETF(515050)跟踪中证5G通信主题指数，深度聚焦5G通信(AI算力底座)产业链，通信与电子两大核心赛道合计占比近八成，涵盖30%光模块、12%PCB、15%服务器龙头、12%高速铜联接和8.4%半导体等五大AI算力系统核心组件，权重股包括光模块双雄新易盛和中际旭创，也囊括工业富联等5G产业链龙头。                             5G通信ETF(515050)今年累计涨幅高达72.57%，最新规模为79.58亿元，涨幅、规模双双位居同标的第一。没有股票账户，也可关注场外联接(A类：008086；C类：008087)。                   创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)跟踪创业板人工智能指数，光模块CPO权重占比51.8%，“光含量”居人工智能指数榜首，同时覆盖国产软件+AI应用企业，一键覆盖AI产业链最重磅两大环节，“软硬兼具”。

L |                              机构预计三季度光通信板块归母净利润同比增长167%，头部光模块厂商业绩有望延续同比高增态势，其中创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)前三大权重股中际旭创（20.95%）、新易盛（20.42%）、天孚通信（5.39%）三季度净利润同比预计均超100%。                   创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)备受资金青睐，年内净流入2.8亿元，份额增长率飙增53%，居同类产品前列。值得一提的是，该ETF场内综合费率仅0.20%，位居同类最低。场外联接（A类：025505；C类：025506）。                   365编辑器                    03、投资AI，投资未来                    英伟达CEO黄仁勋在最新访谈中透露，通用计算时代已经结束，未来5-10年，全球所有计算基础设施都将转向加速计算与AI计算。                   尽管近期关于AI泡沫化又变多了起来，但AI技术的发展已经取得了长足的进步，行业需求的快速增长已经不再需要每次模型迭代都有惊艳的进步，况且普通人投入在AI推理上的时间还非常的少。                   随着AI硬件、人形机器人等智能终端逐渐接入到日常生活中来，对未来几年算力需求理应更乐观一些。                   短期来看，虽然外围不确定性出现一点缓解，但是美国的关税政策一直是个扰动项，操作上不宜太过激进，三季报、十五五，月底APEC等大催化带来的右侧机会，将逐渐在接下来两周浮出水面，借助ETF参与进来，不失为一种稳健的选择。

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